Here’s another scenario: The development of competitively-priced self-driving (autonomous?) EVs cause the end of personal vehicle ownership. “Taxis” become the cheapest form of personal transport. EVs are suited to this because they operate most economically when they rack up very high mileage and because it’s much easier to park and store 100 “taxis” than 1,000 privately-owned vehicles that just sit around 97% of the time.
Need a vehicle? decide on the options you require for your trip and order it with your phone. Want to make some pocket-money with your now-empty garage? Make it available for storing and recharging self-driving vehicles.
Self-driving vehicles don’t even need to be safe. They just need to be safer than human-driven vehicles. That’s a VERY low base.